对亚洲市场、资金与政策的独立分析。每周四香港时间晚上7点。
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深度研究 · 宏观 · 美国

Millions of American Workers Will Need New Jobs by 2035.

The McKinsey Global Institute estimates the country could add more jobs than automation removes. About 11 million workers would have to change occupations to fill them, and only one in seven has a direct route.

Icarus Asia Research · 2026年9月30日 · 17 分钟阅读

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利率与外汇 · 2026年9月21日

Japan's Savings Start to Stay Home

The Bank of Japan's September hike was priced, and markets read it as dovish. The effects on global yields, yen carry and risk assets run through slower channels.

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宏观 · 2026年9月12日

The Number Behind the Number

The 7.8 percent print survives arithmetic reconstruction. What it rests on is a set of price assumptions that published data cannot verify.

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本周编辑台

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  • 新闻 · 观点 · 全球 · 2026年6月6日

    Anthropic 警告:人工智能可以自我构建

    Anthropic Institute 本周发布的一份报告披露了内部数据,显示其人工智能改进自身的速度有多快。这引出了一个重要问题:当人工智能系统开始设计自己的继任者时,会发生什么?

深度研究 · 利率与外汇 · 日本, 美国

On Borrowed Time: The US–Japan Yen Intervention

The joint intervention pulled USD/JPY back from a 40-year low in four trading days. It left Japan's fiscal overhang, its energy-driven trade deficit and its rate gap with Washington exactly where they were.
164 → 155
USD/JPY, late-July peak to the Aug. 3 intraday low
$52.8bn
Bank of Japan's estimated yen purchases on Thursday, July 30, alone
227.8%
Japan's gross public debt, share of GDP, 2026
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